RE: As a rule of thumb, the optimal voting time is before 5 minutes
I'm not going to have much time to look into it more today, but FWIW, I saw an HF21 post from Steemit yesterday where they said that they expected the inflection point for post value to be 20 STEEM.
Here's that same table with % of new vs. old added:
| Name | Vests | SP | Weight | Payout | Dollars | Percent |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfish | 0 | 0 | 100.00% | $0.00000 | $0.00000 | n/a |
| Minnow | 1000000 | 587 | 100.00% | $0.00700 | $0.00400 | 57.14% |
| Dolphin | 10000000 | 5873 | 100.00% | $0.07300 | $0.03800 | 52.05% |
| Orca | 100000000 | 58737 | 100.00% | $0.73400 | $0.44100 | 60.08% |
| Whale | 1000000000 | 587373 | 100.00% | $7.34200 | $6.29400 | 85.73% |
| danmaruschak | 1526187 | 896 | 99.08% | $0.01100 | $0.00600 | 54.55% |
| steemcurator01 | 22110216938 | 12986950 | 96.94% | $162.34300 | $160.90000 | 99.11% |
As percentages, I'd say minnows, orcas, and whales are generally consistent with what I saw in the spreadsheet yesterday. I'm not sure why it goes down from minnow to dolphin, though - or from Minnow to your account? I would not have expected that...
Update: Here's what the spreadsheet says the curve would look like as percentage of linear (rshares across the X axis); looks like the 100% vote for SC01 would be roughly 4.25 * 10^14, so a whale would be in the neighborhood of 2 * 10^12:
Except for the downward movement after minnows, I'd say that's consistent with your script's output.
That's right, posts that generate 20 Steem + will have an advantage over posts that generate less than 20 steem. that is, the reward will be somewhat higher for posts that generate more than 20 steem +
And stated values before payment of posts show 30-32% higher values before the payment takes place. I don't know if it matters for your math.
My guess would be rounding issues and the numbers in the table only having three decimal places.