RE: Twenty mins. that will alter your perspective. GOOGLE and NASA use this Quantum Computing technology.
Thanks for the interesting post! Hope to see you back here some day.
I found this article while testing Thoth, and I got to it by following links from here. It's very interesting to watch this video with Geordi Rose 10 years after it was posted. He made 3 predictions in 2015, so I thought I'd see how they fared:
- By 2018, NASA would discover an Earth-like planet with water within 40 light years, and serious people would be discussing how to get there.
- Doesn't look like this happened. Proxima Centauri b is about 4.24 light years away. It was discovered in 2016, and it might have water, but I don't think anyone's seriously talking about going there.
- By 2023, Physics will have a major breakthrough that is built on the cornerstone of the "parallel universes" that are harnessed by quantum computing.
- Google Gemini says "no"
- By 2028, intelligent machines will exist, and they'll be able to do anything humans can do.
- This one probably seemed the most farfetched of the three at the time, but with modern advances in robotics and AI, it now seems the most plausible to me (though I still think it's a long shot). We'll have to wait 'til 2028 to see.
As the founder of DWave, Rose expected quantum computing to be involved in all 3 of those predictions. He also said that the number of qubits were following a "Moore's Law" style trajectory - doubling every year.
If they were at 512 in 2015, that would put them at 524,288 today. I don't think they've kept up with that pace. Here's what Gemini says:
In summary, as of April 2025, the quantum computers with the highest reported number of physical qubits are in the range of 1,100 to 1,200 qubits from IBM and Atom Computing. However, other companies are focusing on the quality and connectivity of their qubits, and the development of more stable topological qubits could also lead to significant advancements.
Still, even if he was overly optimistic on timelines, ten years later, I'd say that none of his predictions have been ruled out as possibilities for the future.