Without crossing the border: the military expert told about the tactical response of the Russian Federation to the military provocations of Kiev

Before the presidential elections in Russia, Kiev, perhaps, will try to arrange a large-scale military provocation. The most likely scenario is that the Ukrainian army will move tanks to break through the resistance of the Donbas militiamen, in parallel the attempted offensive by the APU will be taken at the border with Russia in the Rostov region or the Crimea. Kiev expects that Moscow will respond to the scenario of the Georgian "five-day war", that is, it will move troops to the territory of the neighboring state. But this is not so.