Cantillion Effects
This is going to be a semi-short post. I will be shifting gears a little bit to talk about Cantillion effects. This is named after Richard Cantillion which is when purchasing power is being transferred from those with old money to those with new money. This can also be loosely translated as "How inflation enriches the elite".
When we think of inflation, we think about increasing the monetary supply. While there are other definitions of inflation, this is the one that I am going to use to explain Cantillion effects. And this definition that doesn't sound too bad...in theory.
For example, If we all earned the $50K as a universal basic income and the government decided to inject say 1 trillion dollars into the economy, then that means we all have our salaries increase. But what would this practice solve? Yes our salaries went up, but so did the price of everything that we spend money on. So nothing would change. We all get more money in the check but the prices of all goods and services would cancel the increase.
We have undergone inflation in just about every single part of the world. So is the hypothetical situation that I described actually happening?
No. Our salaries are rising but no where near the same rate as our goods and our services. Why isn't inflation working the way it should work?
The reason is simple; When the monetary supply is increased, the new money doesn't directly drop into our bank accounts nor does it fall from the sky. Instead, the money is given to select members of the elite to spend on FIRST before the new money trickles down to the layman which takes quite some time due to bureaucracy. It is difficult for salaried workers to get raises on their salaries. Think about how difficult it would be to get a 2% raise from your boss every year to adjust for inflation. Because if you can't pull that off, then you will lose the battle with inflation.
During this cyclistic process, the prices of the goods and services used by the layman has already risen. By the time the new money does reach the layman, the money supply has probably increased multiple times. So salaried workers are facing an impossible task.
This practice only benefits those who got the new money first, they enjoyed the additional funds and purchasing power to buy assets on the cheap while everyone else has to work harder and incur more risk to acquire the same asset. This is one way how the rich become richer and the poor become poorer. Murray Rothbard makes a similar sediment in his book "What has the Government Done to Our Money", when he says,
Inflation, then, confers no general social benefit; instead, it redistributes the wealth in favor of the firstcomers and at the expense of the laggards in the race. And inflation is, in effect, a race—to see who can get the new money earliest. The latecomers—the ones stuck with the loss—are often called the “fixed income groups.” Ministers, teachers, people on salaries, lag notoriously behind other groups in acquiring the new money. Particular sufferers will be those depending on fixed money contracts—contracts made in the days before the inflationary rise in prices.
Wealth is the key word here. Wealth in this case, does not mean money, as money does not have any intrinsic value. Real wealth comes from the things that we buy with money such as houses, land, and natural resources. Inflation is a mechanism to allow firstcomers of new money such as the government, to outbid private parties to the aforementioned assets like natural resources.
Inflation is a form of taxation, since the government can create new money out of thin air and use it to bid away resources from private individuals, who are barred by heavy penalty from similar “counterfeiting.” Inflation therefore makes a pleasant substitute for taxation for the government officials and their favored groups, and it is a subtle substitute which the general public can easily — and can be encouraged to — overlook. The government can also pin the blame for the rising prices, which are the inevitable consequence of inflation, upon the general public or some disliked segments of the public, e.g., business, speculators, foreigners. Rothbard, "America’s Great Depression".
Through the Cantillion effects, we can see that inflation is theft; a hidden tax that most people cannot see.
I tried to explain this simply and in a way that I can understand it as well. Feel free to add your comments and correct me if I am incorrect somewhere. I hope you all have learned something from this piece. I will be covering this topic again in the future.
This is a great explanation for a commonly noticed frustration. A friend of mine asked me the other day what I think would happen if everyone defaulted on their student loans and if I think the government would implement mass debt forgiveness. My response was that it would be very unlikely because the government would rather distribute new wealth at the top, not just because of upholding insider interests (which is probably the biggest part of it, if we’re going to be honest), but because it has an immediate (but semi-artificial) impact in boosting the economy in times of crisis. Inflation works in a similar way. This is an argument for increasing the minimum wage, since in most cases the minimum wage has not kept up with inflation. But as you said, evenly redistributed wealth means rising prices. It’s the big Catch-22 of poverty and even of the middle classes now. Poor people always get the most screwed over.
Increasing the minimum wage wouldn't help the poor because there will be a ripple effect that results in the increase of prices and future unemployment. In order to actually help the poor, new money would have to given to the poor with no strings attached. Just as the Cantillion effects gives the government and the elite new money with no strings attached, the same can be done for the middle class as well as the poor.
But the government wouldn't do that because of greed. Money is just a mechanism for the government to seize real assets from the people.
Awesome comment @snoreball
Awesome comment @malloryblythe
Dear @snoreball
I must admit that I never heard about Cantillion effects and today I learned something new thanks to you.
We're globally witnessing this process now, right? Some purchasing power is being transfered from FIAT to cryptocurrencies. Is that what we could call Cantillion effects?
I really appreciate the fact that you shared link to your publication via memo with me.
Indeed. It's all about distributing wealth, right? Our current economy isn't really good at that task.
I can bring some traffic already to this post, but I would need to ask you to help me little bit with task of promoting it:
1) will you reply to every comment?
2) could you visit accounts of those few people, who dropped interesting comment at your post? And then would show your own support by dropping some unique and valuable comment? Idea behind it is simple: I want to help people who will engage with their audience.
I need to ensure that you will give back to community and show your support to others as well.
Let me know what do you think.
Yours
Piotr
@cripto.piotr, thanks for inviting me, but after reading this great article I must affirm that the government strategy of gaining extra peny have been exposed through Catellion effect. No wonder whenever any government of any country increases salary nothing changed because they will indirectly increase tax, thereby raising the cost of goods and services. Government earn more money through the expenses of the poor populace. I'm happy to come across this article, it is an eye opener for me.
The government is clever, they have learned from history that if you tax the people directly, you will have a situation similar to France right now. However through inflation, the government can steal from the people without them knowing. It like comparing a mugger (taxes) to a pickpocket (inflation). The former is an obvious criminal so you know to defend yourself, the latter stole your money without you noticing.
Yes your correct @snoreball
Comparing inflation to "hidden taxes" is a great comparison @snoreball
Cheers, Piotr
Thank you for that amazing comment @maclevis
I'm glad you decided to share your thoughts with us.
Cheers
Piotr
Thanks for bringing this to my attention!
I thank you @crypto.piotr for sharing this with me. I knew the general concept that inflation is theft but this helped me see some of the details. Also I was unaware there was a name for this process
Thank you for dropping by @silverreport
Appreciate your comment :)
Yours, Piotr
Hi @crypto.piotr,
Purchasing power being transferred from fiat to crypto is not an example of Cantillon effects. Cantillon effects doesn't come into play here because no one is supposed to be able to mint new crypto. So in this case, the one with new money or new crypto are the ones holding the bags. It is the early adopters or old money winning in this space.
A crypto example of Cantillon effects would be the Oyster Pearl scam. The creator actually found a loophole in the ICO to print new Oyster coins which he dumped on the market to sell at a decent price. The losers were the bag holders of old Oyster Pearl coins who couldn't react in time before the price of Oyster dropped due to the massive selling.
Also, please share this post with others. I always make an effort to engage with my audience.
Dear @snoreball
Thank you for your explanation. Appreciate.
How did you like the response? Any decent comments?
Cheers
Piotr
A few. Overall, it feels like people don't quite have a full understanding of the topic and are using blanket statements to show that they are "contributing".
Not calling anyone out in particular.
Hi @snoreball
I had similar impression. Perhaps it's because (or partly because) subject of your post is not very familar to the majority of people and on top of that it's not easy topic to discuss.
Cheers
Piotr
All the problems would be over if we the people knew the law. The national debt would be gone overnight if the people weren't so ignorant of law. They will not teach you, but I can easily prove it to you. Keep up the good work and take the next step to understand and eliminate the problem. Teach the people.
Dear @vaughnpaul1
I really would love to hear more about it. If you don't mind sharing with me. How could national debt be ever gone? Could that possibly happen without crashing entire financial system?
Yours
Piotr
Everyone needs to understand something. Under the united states code Title 18 it says, we the people are all unincorporated bankers. That is the law. Now, when our government talks about the National Debt, they say every man, woman and child in this country would have to pay $90,000 to eliminate the debt. Now, as a banker, by law, what can you do? "FORGIVE A DEBT". That is one of the reasons why they can never remove bankruptcy as a debt relief, which is done by supreme court ruling and not by ex-post-facto county courts. So, why don't we right the government a simple sentence and all mail it to them.
EXAMPLE:
If I take a loan for a car from you (the banker), I lose my job and approach you saying I can no longer afford to pay you. Can you not forgive my debt to you and give me the car? (YES) You are the banker and there is no repercussion on you other than a loss of money that you chose to live with.
So, let's do this. All of us (the bankers of America) write a letter to the government telling them we forgive their debt to us and never do it again. Wouldn't the National Debt be gone overnight? (YES) That is the SUPREME LAW. Under the Constitution, the Federal Supreme Court is one of our last means of defense against a tyrannical government. Military being the last defense. Think about it and research it and you will start to understand.
" IGNORANCE OF LAW IS NO EXCUSE" but, their rules say they don't have to teach it to you and only need to point out where to find it. Question a Judge and you will see.
Wow. That is surely mindblowing comment @vaughnpaul1
I will have to re-read it tomorrow morning with "fresh mind". Thank you for taking the time to reply.
Yours
Piotr
Thanks @crypto.piotr for referring me to this educating article. Well Done @snoreball.
Whao, Am beginning to see inflation in a new light and how it can affect our long term savings and investment.
Thanks for sharing
Thank you for dropping by @inspiration101 :)
Thanks @crypto.piotr for introducing me this lovely article. Well Done @snoreball
Thanks
Interesting. Looking forward to more from you on this subject.
I think you made your point pretty well.
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upvoated the post thanks @crypto.piotr
Good article!