A critical week ahead ✍️
Good evening to all my friends. I hope you all are doing well. I am having a fantastic day. Let's talk about crypto market. Friends, in this post I want to talk about something important coming up the U.S. Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision on July 30th. Like every time, the market is already pricing in that we won’t see a rate cut. But here’s what I’ve been analyzing: whenever the Fed considers rate cuts, it focuses on two key things maximum employment and price stability. Over the last few months, the U.S. unemployment rate has slightly improved, now sitting around 4.1%. In fact, the June 2025 job data was surprisingly strong, with over 1.44 million jobs created versus the expected 17,000. Despite strong employment and previously stable inflation around 2.4%, the Fed still didn’t cut rates. Now, with inflation rising again to 2.7%, the pressure is building not just from the markets but also from within the system.
You know ehat’s more interesting is the political angle. There’s growing pressure on Fed Chair Jerome Powell, especially from Donald Trump, who wants to replace him. But unless Powell resigns himself, he’ll likely stay until mid 2026. If he does step down, we could see aggressive rate cuts, which might be great for the short term but risky for the economy in the long run. I’m also closely tracking Bitcoin dominance, which is now above 61% a strong support level that hasn’t been broken in the last two years. Altcoins haven’t moved much yet because most of the capital is flowing into Ethereum. Once ETH stabilizes, I expect altcoins to follow. We’ve got 7 to 8 critical days ahead where multiple charts, including the S&P 500 monthly RSI, could confirm the next move. Until then, I’m avoiding new futures positions and advising to book profits wherever you’re already in green. Let’s stay alert, stay smart, and as always. That's it for today. Thanks & have a good day!!