I predict a huge ether dumb in 23 days, 22 days, 21 days, counting...
So let's imagine the ethereum miners decide to accept the hard fork.
At some specific point in time [somebody more technical please fill in] all the ether in The DAO will be released back to the original backers. Right?
I am just guessing here [wink], but I can imagine that at least a few of those will want to get rid of their recovered ether as soon as possible. At ~14% of all available ether, even a small fraction of that will be a huge dump and a great opportunity for shorting ether still more .
Or is my logic here at fault? I am not a trader and this is certainly NOT investment advice.
assuming most of them are clueless fiat investors... yes. there will be a huge dump
Does anybody know if there will be any kind of schedule for when what type or class of investors will be able to retrieve their ether? Although I don't believe that there would be a fair option in this regard.
if there is a hardfork, it will kick in at a specific block. it's fair game at that point