Daily Crypto Analysis - 28th Apr - Technical Analysis
Bitcoin
As I hoped for, Bitcoin made a bit of a pullback towards the 50% support, before bouncing back up above $9300. In its current state, this is a good confirmation of strong support near highs, giving a strong bullish signal.
However, there is the possibility of an ascending channel forming (pink channel on the chart), so watch out for a rejection of the ascending resistance as a confirmation. While this doesn't look particularly likely at the moment, its always best to keep a view on the possibilities.
Ethereum
I've also been watching a loose ascending channel on ETHBTC, which is now showing signs of bearish divergence. A break downwards from this channel, to make a similar bounce from support as BTCUSD, would be ideal. A confirmation of lower support would give a strong bullish signal and allow us to take positions with a well defined risk level.
Until we get such a confirmation, I still recommend waiting from the sidelines, rather than building up new positions just yet.
Bitcoin Cash
Bitcoin Cash has been consolidating nicely since the 26th, with a good volume drop off for a consolidation zone. Finally, this provides a decent opportunity to build up a bullish position with minimal risk. The 0.1433 support would make a decent level to place stop losses. And, as always, make sure to size positions appropriately.
Your position sizing/ risk tolerance should be based on how much you'd be willing to lose, assuming that any position you take goes wrong. While I try to go for higher probability setups, its always best to prepare for the worst while hoping for the best.
Litecoin
Litecoin has been holding nearer to lows on decreasing volume, a rather bearish sign in the short term. As it stands, this could easily form a bearish consolidation zone, signalling a break to lower lows.
For the bulls, we're looking for is a strong bounce through the stack of resistance levels we're currently below and, preferably, a consolidation back above 0.01752 support/ resistance.
Monero
Similarly to LTCBTC, Monero has been pushing towards support without a good bounce so far. A break below 0.02730 leaves a lot of room for further drops, as there are historical few support levels. A climb back towards 0.03200 would be ideal for a bullish consolidation, but that prospect is looking ever unlikely.
Disclaimer
I will do my best to give unbiased, objective analysis, but I can make no promises about my accuracy.
All posts are based on my personal opinions and ideas and do not constitute professional financial investment advice.
Coins mentioned in post: