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RE: Wagerr Main Net Update!

in #cryptocurrency7 years ago

@Costanza, do you any thoughts about the concept of heads-up betting?

We're used to betting against the house, but against other bettors? My first impression is that we ought to be somewhat excited about that as so many people are simply poor wagerers. But being relatively out of the norm, there must be factors I'm not considering...

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Hey @braveboat, here in the UK betting exchanges that exist today (Betfair, Betdaq etc.) are essentially the crowd betting against each other, and I can tell you from experience that:

  • The crowd manages to increase the efficiency of liquid markets over time, as the ratio of shrewd punters increases. Bookmakers then start to follow the exchanges as a price guide!
  • As there's no "house" there's also no house edge. Instead you pay commission on wins (5% with Betfair). Despite the commission this often works out better placing the bets with an exchange than at traditional bookmakers.

However, if I'm understanding correctly, Wagerr will be offering two outcomes that are priced at evens (minus 2% fee), and if the odds don't move like they would on an exchange, this could lead to big opportunities for experienced bettors! I'll watch with interest :)

It will indeed work similar to Betfair but amounts need to be matched completely, so if someone offers 100$ on 1 side it needs to be taken by 1 person on the other side for 100$. There will be 2% comission (instead of ~5% at betfair), but I'm not sure if odds are fixed or if they can be chosen and offered on wagerr similar to betfair.

Betfair is great for traders as you only pay fees on the winnings from a specific match. So if you bet 1000$ on 1 side and 1000$ on the opposing side with a middle position where you win 20$ no matter who wins you pay ~5% of that 20$. At wagerr you will pay 2% of the winning bet itself if you take middle positions which is a lot more. Their H2H margins should still beat average bookmaker odds by a lot so I'm quite confident that there is money to be made. There will for sure be tactics that can be used to exploit their system with small margins as I can't see many of the players there closely watching the market and the moves. I'm really looking forward to test it all out.