RE: A lot of politicians are fucking idiots, and it shows.
The entire thing is due to the media. We didn't take it seriously at first because they always play this game. And at the same time as they were ringing the alarm bells saying it was serious, they were also saying it wasn't serious.
But the chances of getting it are a lot better than the powerball. What makes it so bad is how easy it is to spread. And the time until you show symptoms. If we didn't social distance and shelter in place a huge number would become infected, millions would die, and we couldn't do a thing about it.
There's a bit of insanity in the way we're treating it, but there's also clear reason, since we don't really have much of any immunity to this corona virus, and it would ravage the population.
Hopefully if this ever happens again in my lifetime, assuming we don't end up forever being in lock-down because of this, I hope we'll learn from it.
we can't stay in lockdown forever, the world economy wouldn't be able to bear it. Eventually we are going to have to resume business, even if people do die.
I'm not trying to start an argument but did you see that the guy who made the "millions will die" model that largely impacted the decision to lockdown has severely revised his model and now it is between 20,000 and 100,000? I've only read the headlines but will dig into it later on today.
I hadn't seen anything about that projection.
I've seen quite a few different projections based on our activity. I dunno if anyone really knows for sure how many will die at this point. We're still not sure about the morbidity as far as I know.
But right now the US has 100k infected. Italy has had 80k cases and 10k deaths. That suggests possibly over 1% death when hospitals are overrun. Hopefully we can manage to deal with our cases a bit better than that due to the sheer size of the US, and keep infections low, because if we did have mass infections in the millions and over 1% morbidity...that would not be good.