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RE: UK is on worse Coronavirus trajectory than Italy!
Remember, every death means 800-1000 real cases.
Do we know that? I've seen estimates from 0.1% to 5% lethal infections. Hard to measure when countries have different standards for testing. One thing is certain: the UK and other European countries like the Netherlands are not doing enough tests. Not even simple fever checks.
The rough calculation of 800-1000 real cases per death is based on the death rate; the doubling time for cases and the fact that it takes around 17 days to die. Details are in this paper: https://medium.com/@tomaspueyo/coronavirus-act-today-or-people-will-die-f4d3d9cd99ca