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RE: There will never be 21 million Bitcoins
The whole QuadrigaCX story has a bit of a stank on it... I would think that more info will be revealed and some shady operations will be revealed. That being said, however, i think the 10-20% figure for lost bitcoins is fairly accurate — making the ones that are still accessible (and yet to be mined) all the more valuable.
I think you are probably right. It sounds almost too 'dumb' to be true.
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https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2019-02-06/mystery-surrounding-lost-150m-crypto-fortune-deepens-analysts-question-exchanges