Bitcoin Surges Driven by Risk Demand

ETFs and Futures Show Recovery: $700M Inflows to Institutional Funds as Open Interest in Derivatives Reaches $57.64B

Bitcoin (BTC) closed this Monday at $87,498 (+1.64%), hitting a two-week high of $88,765—its highest level—driven by a global rally in risk assets following signs of easing US tariff policy. Markets reacted positively to reports that Donald Trump's tariffs would be more targeted (focused on automobiles), which reversed flows into cryptocurrencies and stocks.

Key resistance: BTC faces the 50 EMA at $89,000. A breakout could take it to $98,900. / TradingView

Traditional Markets Boost BTC

• US stock indices (S&P 500 and Nasdaq) rose in parallel with Bitcoin, showing a positive correlation.
• The Key News: Tariff exemptions for some countries calmed inflation fears, according to Bloomberg analysts.

Derivatives and Liquidity in Recovery

Key Data:

• Open interest in BTC futures: +3.84%, reaching $57.64 billion (one-month high).
• BTC options: Open interest at $35.79B (highest level since 01/31/2025), with 64.42% in calls (bullish bets).
• Institutional ETFs: 5 consecutive days of net inflows (+$700M last week).

Technical Analysis

• Key resistance: BTC faces the 50 EMA at $89,000. A breakout could take it to $98,900.
• Support: Close above the 200 EMA ($86,200), confirming a long-term uptrend.
• Volume: Close to the 25-day average, showing active buyer participation.

Where Is Bitcoin Going?

Indicators suggest that:
Liquidity is returning to crypto markets (ETFs + derivatives).
Investors are betting on further upside (call dominance).
US economic policy remains a key catalyst.

Next targets: If BTC breaks above $89,000, it could target $98,900. Otherwise, a sideways range of $84,000-$88,000.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrencies are volatile: do your research before investing.