When the economy shakes... and the orange swan appears

in Project HOPE3 months ago

Hello Project HOPE friends, Good morning everyone. Today I want to share something that's been on my mind for a few days, and that's the behavior of international markets following Trump's inauguration.

Yes, I know his figure has always generated controversy, but this time I don't want to focus on politics (although it's inevitable to touch on it a bit), but rather on what's happening with global economic indices.


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Since taking office, the now president has been making quite controversial decisions, especially in economic matters, and one of the most resounding is the implementation of aggressive tariffs on several nations. This, instead of strengthening the economy, has generated a wave of brutal uncertainty in the markets. The Dow Jones, the Nasdaq, the S&P 500... all have plummeted by more than 10%. And let's not even mention Bitcoin and Ethereum, which also plummeted.

There's a term that struck me as curious and that I saw in some financial forums: orange swan. Let me explain. In economics, there's something called a "black swan," which is an unexpected event that radically changes things and has enormous consequences. Well, now, many are using the term orange swan, alluding to Trump's skin color and how his measures have generated a negative impact that no one could have accurately predicted.


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I know some will say it was obvious this would happen, but the truth is that even the most experienced analysts didn't expect such a sudden and rapid collapse. I'm not an economist, but seeing how everything is falling and how the markets are reacting with fear, I can't help but worry. This isn't just about numbers; this affects pockets, savings, jobs, and above all, confidence.

Hopefully, this will stabilize, but with such an impulsive leader in charge, the risk is still there, latent. Let's be vigilant, because the orange swan seems to be just spreading its wings... I'll say goodbye. Have a good day.


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The economy keeps getting shaking in a lot of government and that is because the government are corrupt and they are just after their own gain which I strongly believe should not be so